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Red59
283621.5
568619.4
23622.3
Blue35
457218.3
57120.7
10275.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions614902040801005935

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
236
#11
22.30.1
21.221.3
Auto5.4
Teleop13.4
End3.5
red by 1.6
571
#19
20.71.3
22.321.0
Auto8.9
Teleop9.4
End2.4
Second
2836
#12
21.50.1
18.818.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.6
End6.2
red by 3.1
4572
#15
18.31.3
21.420.1
Auto7.1
Teleop9.6
End1.6
Third
5686
#16
19.40.1
17.817.9
Auto6.0
Teleop11.3
End2.1
red by 13.9
1027
#37
5.51.3
5.94.6
Auto1.3
Teleop5.0
End-0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
70%Breach oddsEarned46%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed