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Red190
333941.6
37947.0
69439.7
Blue189
87648.4
300539.8
255745.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions156156130140150160170180190200190189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
379
#16
47.00.4
46.246.7
Auto12.2
Teleop26.1
End8.7
blue by 1.5
876
#21
48.40.3
48.148.4
Auto8.4
Teleop28.7
End11.4
Second
3339
#33
41.60.4
40.941.3
Auto13.4
Teleop23.2
End5.0
blue by 3.8
2557
#22
45.40.3
45.045.3
Auto9.0
Teleop25.0
End11.3
Third
694
#8
39.70.4
39.039.4
Auto9.5
Teleop25.5
End4.8
blue by 0.1
39.80.3
39.639.8
Auto11.4
Teleop21.9
End6.5