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Red187
333941.6
37947.0
69439.7
Blue185
87648.4
406137.6
255745.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions157156130140150170180190200187185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
379
#16
47.00.3
46.747.0
Auto12.2
Teleop26.1
End8.7
blue by 1.5
876
#21
48.40.1
48.448.4
Auto8.4
Teleop28.7
End11.4
Second
3339
#33
41.60.3
41.341.6
Auto13.4
Teleop23.2
End5.0
blue by 3.8
2557
#22
45.40.1
45.345.4
Auto9.0
Teleop25.0
End11.3
Third
694
#8
39.70.3
39.439.7
Auto9.5
Teleop25.5
End4.8
red by 2.1
4061
#12
37.60.1
37.537.6
Auto12.4
Teleop17.8
End7.5