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Quarterfinal 1-22016 Curie Division
Red168
16649.6
361840.6
354644.1
Blue202
333941.6
37947.0
69439.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions190134050100250300350168202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
#10
49.60.4
49.5→49.2
Auto17.3
Teleop27.5
End4.8
red by 2.6
379
#16
47.00.8
43.5→44.2
Auto12.2
Teleop26.1
End8.7
Second
3546
#1
44.10.4
44.1→43.7
Auto14.1
Teleop24.9
End5.1
red by 2.5
3339
#33
41.60.8
38.1→38.9
Auto13.4
Teleop23.2
End5.0
Third
3618
#15
40.60.4
40.6→40.2
Auto13.8
Teleop21.9
End5.0
red by 0.9
694
#8
39.70.8
36.2→37.0
Auto9.5
Teleop25.5
End4.8