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Semifinal 1-22016 Curie Division
Red185
333941.6
37947.0
69439.7
Blue172
364150.3
540647.7
126144.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1411990100300400500600185172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
379
#16
47.00.3
45.9→46.2
Auto12.2
Teleop26.1
End8.7
blue by 3.3
3641
#9
50.30.4
50.6→50.3
Auto9.6
Teleop35.9
End4.7
Second
3339
#33
41.60.3
40.5→40.9
Auto13.4
Teleop23.2
End5.0
blue by 6.1
5406
#5
47.70.4
48.1→47.7
Auto11.6
Teleop25.0
End11.1
Third
694
#8
39.70.3
38.6→39.0
Auto9.5
Teleop25.5
End4.8
blue by 5.2
1261
#13
44.90.4
45.3→44.9
Auto14.3
Teleop25.7
End4.9