3641The Flying Toasters
South Lyon, Michigan, USA
#45 of 3114 · 38-23-1 · 61% win rate
| Match | Red | Blue | Pred | Win prob | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qual 3 | 36412960302 | 222461505217 | 81–53 | 91% | 95–50 |
| Qual 8 | 514461165530 | 118836413414 | 56–74 | 79% | 35–81 |
| Qual 16 | 570850663548 | 364160895853 | 57–61 | 67% | 94–56 |
| Qual 25 | 364155336190 | 22245033542 | 76–69 | 65% | 79–58 |
| Qual 31 | 522544053641 | 521734146152 | 63–52 | 73% | 30–42 |
| Qual 35 | 222436413548 | 440529603547 | 79–70 | 67% | 95–54 |
| Qual 43 | 43902403542 | 3641275708 | 57–78 | 90% | 51–98 |
| Qual 52 | 569536416150 | 28323025050 | 66–83 | 84% | 65–105 |
| Qual 55 | 476811885533 | 262012503641 | 58–81 | 92% | 71–85 |
| Qual 65 | 506612505695 | 35472403641 | 70–76 | 66% | 76–70 |
| Qual 71 | 61163133641 | 5695521727 | 65–79 | 79% | 68–80 |
| Qual 76 | 10233083641 | 59073145531 | 100–68 | 97% | 91–81 |
| Playoffs | |||||
| Quarterfinal 2-1 | 36416190313 | 28323082960 | 97–107 | 67% | 96–128 |
| Quarterfinal 2-2 | 36416190313 | 28323082960 | 97–106 | 66% | 97–101 |
FIM District - Ann Arbor Skyline Event
Apr 7 – 9, 2016
| Match | Red | Blue | Pred | Win prob | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qual 4 | 5697663322 | 520536415523 | 66–70 | 52% | 56–95 |
| Qual 13 | 150436415697 | 590152156208 | 80–54 | 89% | 99–87 |
| Qual 17 | 506736415225 | 557761016208 | 68–67 | 53% | 89–57 |
| Qual 27 | 553334522673 | 364150656096 | 86–59 | 90% | 96–77 |
| Qual 32 | 222461505008 | 609261013641 | 56–78 | 85% | 73–113 |
| Qual 38 | 364151974395 | 520460965697 | 76–57 | 82% | 90–74 |
| Qual 46 | 605336415194 | 353655334851 | 80–72 | 67% | 96–94 |
| Qual 51 | 519460962673 | 364142163452 | 68–111 | 99% | 69–108 |
| Qual 58 | 609255245205 | 557736416093 | 77–87 | 68% | 79–84 |
| Qual 63 | 590148513641 | 323450675535 | 80–88 | 67% | 75–88 |
| Qual 70 | 605350655523 | 364161504507 | 51–74 | 90% | 54–88 |
| Qual 74 | 619036412673 | 332255355205 | 97–72 | 85% | 73–77 |
| Playoffs | |||||
| Quarterfinal 4-1 | 6636413322 | 520461905523 | 103–104 | 52% | 106–88 |
| Quarterfinal 4-2 | 6636413322 | 520461905523 | 103–102 | 53% | 101–67 |
| Semifinal 2-1 | 345232345901 | 6636413322 | 119–103 | 78% | 59–145 |
| Semifinal 2-2 | 345232345901 | 6636413322 | 116–104 | 71% | 134–117 |
| Semifinal 2-3 | 345232345901 | 6636413322 | 118–104 | 71% | 111–146 |
| Finals | |||||
| Final 1 | 277142165008 | 6636413322 | 128–105 | 80% | 111–144 |
| Final 2 | 277142165008 | 6636413322 | 128–106 | 77% | 145–141 |
| Final 3 | 277142165008 | 6636413322 | 128–106 | 74% | 157–82 |
Michigan State Championship
Apr 13 – 16, 2016
| Match | Red | Blue | Pred | Win prob | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qual 3 | 23371481494 | 276736416086 | 111–123 | 68% | 78–134 |
| Qual 19 | 3414571285 | 364121373539 | 106–116 | 70% | 99–132 |
| Qual 36 | 36415033357 | 509036562959 | 129–104 | 84% | 142–89 |
| Qual 57 | 26112173234 | 3641512604 | 112–93 | 66% | 118–134 |
| Qual 73 | 102536415230 | 590736185505 | 116–107 | 68% | 130–110 |
| Qual 92 | 364161933534 | 5150331250 | 117–122 | 54% | 101–122 |
| Qual 124 | 511413223770 | 364143915878 | 100–117 | 76% | 121–155 |
| Qual 141 | 612135483641 | 57336884384 | 114–128 | 71% | 115–142 |
| Qual 156 | 364137073536 | 6750482474 | 117–131 | 67% | 102–164 |
| Qual 173 | 309840031023 | 3641258666 | 127–114 | 71% | 175–124 |
| Qual 203 | 609735383641 | 376751665167 | 110–95 | 77% | 129–103 |
| Playoffs | |||||
| Octofinal 8-1 | 191849673546 | 364150501250 | 196–165 | 91% | 177–157 |
| Octofinal 8-2 | 191849673546 | 364150501250 | 194–164 | 90% | 217–170 |
| Match | Red | Blue | Pred | Win prob | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qual 2 | 37929745199 | 33954063641 | 121–123 | 53% | 112–155 |
| Qual 15 | 364139653230 | 314739301662 | 120–99 | 80% | 96–86 |
| Qual 33 | 418019833641 | 822201389 | 119–73 | 91% | 159–79 |
| Qual 40 | 337428483230 | 527936412080 | 108–109 | 54% | 74–110 |
| Qual 53 | 364160161123 | 87612612883 | 100–141 | 96% | 111–137 |
| Qual 64 | 364159333234 | 40875892836 | 121–72 | 99% | 135–76 |
| Qual 86 | 216843354455 | 32136413990 | 79–134 | 99% | 97–171 |
| Qual 98 | 364158375976 | 567943293310 | 110–108 | 56% | 111–93 |
| Qual 113 | 95510893925 | 364110733339 | 99–116 | 78% | 116–99 |
| Qual 120 | 32121753005 | 354637703641 | 118–139 | 80% | 98–115 |
| Playoffs | |||||
| Quarterfinal 2-1 | 216833105803 | 364154061261 | 159–190 | 90% | 169–195 |
| Quarterfinal 2-2 | 216858033310 | 364154061261 | 159–189 | 79% | 152–208 |
| Semifinal 1-1 | 3339379694 | 364154061261 | 149–190 | 61% | 194–188 |
| Semifinal 1-2 | 3339379694 | 364154061261 | 150–190 | 66% | 185–172 |
| Match | Red | Blue | Pred | Win prob | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qual 1 | 364146933 | 19182451076 | 140–122 | 72% | 127–60 |
| Qual 7 | 57350505436 | 494364170 | 111–150 | 92% | 75–147 |
| Qual 10 | 548469503 | 5695364170 | 117–118 | 54% | 78–102 |
| Qual 14 | 54365484395 | 15283641910 | 102–115 | 68% | 89–75 |
| Qual 22 | 24043951918 | 36414967503 | 106–144 | 92% | 74–140 |
| Qual 24 | 543643953641 | 30223373322 | 109–93 | 72% | 78–82 |
| Qual 27 | 5136413322 | 505050333 | 105–148 | 95% | 102–95 |
| Qual 31 | 54828323641 | 2404694967 | 127–100 | 80% | 117–89 |
| Qual 39 | 283436415050 | 2337503240 | 146–101 | 90% | 135–70 |
| Qual 42 | 3641302240 | 2337543651 | 109–93 | 60% | 50–86 |
| Qual 46 | 36415731718 | 43951528245 | 142–93 | 82% | 125–82 |
| Qual 49 | 704967910 | 233719183641 | 136–141 | 53% | 165–129 |
| Playoffs | |||||
| Quarterfinal 2-1 | 50336415436 | 33703322 | 152–154 | 52% | 135–147 |
| Quarterfinal 2-2 | 50336415436 | 33703322 | 152–154 | 52% | 175–122 |
| Quarterfinal 2-3 | 50336415436 | 33703322 | 152–154 | 52% | 180–111 |
| Semifinal 1-1 | 49417181528 | 50336415436 | 148–152 | 52% | 130–180 |
| Semifinal 1-2 | 49417181528 | 50336415436 | 148–152 | 52% | 135–185 |
| Finals | |||||
| Final 1 | 50336415436 | 283423375695 | 152–137 | 51% | 200–128 |
| Final 2 | 50336415436 | 283423375695 | 152–137 | 51% | 140–139 |
| Match | Red | Blue | Pred | Win prob | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qual 2 | 50336411747 | 173115292590 | 138–129 | 55% | 150–77 |
| Qual 22 | 332453538 | 261436411806 | 142–139 | 55% | 125–159 |
| Qual 35 | 3641233234 | 11825021058 | 132–150 | 61% | 137–162 |
| Qual 43 | 174612411405 | 171836413481 | 131–144 | 71% | 150–115 |
| Qual 50 | 364111145254 | 17940391511 | 159–135 | 74% | 165–132 |
| Qual 61 | 21727711640 | 62420563641 | 149–167 | 68% | 165–150 |
| Qual 71 | 36412052195 | 3015202013 | 184–127 | 97% | 160–95 |
| Qual 84 | 2724682826 | 10233641217 | 125–162 | 89% | 85–160 |
| Qual 93 | 233824511086 | 36411257133 | 146–145 | 52% | 165–174 |
| Playoffs | |||||
| Quarterfinal 2 | 16191241133 | 36412451217 | 217–214 | 59% | 265–215 |
