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Red102
364145.9
370730.8
353638.3
Blue164
6754.5
504838.0
247442.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11413450100150200250102164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3641
#16
45.90.8
45.044.2
Auto10.3
Teleop31.4
End4.3
blue by 8.5
67
#13
54.52.4
53.956.4
Auto12.4
Teleop29.7
End12.4
Second
3536
#64
38.30.8
37.536.7
Auto12.4
Teleop23.0
End2.9
blue by 3.9
2474
#12
42.22.4
38.540.9
Auto10.7
Teleop24.8
End6.7
Third
3707
#68
30.80.8
30.930.2
Auto8.3
Teleop18.6
End3.9
blue by 7.2
5048
#25
38.02.4
35.137.6
Auto9.1
Teleop19.9
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
42%Capture oddsMissed68%Capture oddsEarned