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Red91
50339.6
619331.5
609731.6
Blue120
260425.8
102537.7
276749.0
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10311840608014016018020091120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#74
39.60.8
40.439.6
Auto10.6
Teleop19.0
End10.0
blue by 9.3
49.00.1
51.151.2
Auto10.8
Teleop30.7
End7.4
Second
6097
#85
31.60.8
30.529.7
Auto10.7
Teleop15.8
End5.1
blue by 6.1
1025
#76
37.70.1
37.437.5
Auto5.0
Teleop24.5
End8.2
Third
6193
#34
31.50.8
31.630.8
Auto8.9
Teleop17.4
End5.2
red by 5.7
2604
#73
25.80.1
24.324.4
Auto8.3
Teleop12.8
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned89%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
56%Capture oddsMissed37%Capture oddsMissed