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Red150
571236.4
550547.6
362056.3
Blue127
366832.6
612132.1
546050.1
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1461086080100120160180200150127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.30.6
55.355.9
Auto13.0
Teleop37.4
End5.8
red by 6.2
5460
#26
50.10.8
46.947.7
Auto9.4
Teleop31.8
End8.8
Second
5505
#23
47.60.6
45.946.4
Auto10.1
Teleop26.9
End10.6
red by 15.1
3668
#75
32.60.8
32.933.6
Auto9.9
Teleop18.5
End4.2
Third
5712
#48
36.40.6
35.235.8
Auto10.2
Teleop22.9
End3.2
red by 4.3
6121
#81
32.10.8
30.931.6
Auto9.4
Teleop18.3
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
70%Capture oddsEarned17%Capture oddsEarned