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Red123
360442.4
191849.2
377036.7
Blue107
438132.2
509027.7
354641.8
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1311006080120140160180200123107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.20.0
46.146.2
Auto15.0
Teleop26.1
End8.2
red by 7.4
3546
#37
41.80.3
43.043.4
Auto14.4
Teleop21.7
End5.7
Second
3604
#28
42.40.0
41.341.3
Auto10.8
Teleop19.6
End12.1
red by 10.3
4381
#98
32.20.3
31.231.5
Auto9.9
Teleop17.7
End4.6
Third
3770
#35
36.70.0
35.135.1
Auto8.1
Teleop18.6
End10.0
red by 9.0
5090
#100
27.70.3
27.728.1
Auto5.4
Teleop18.4
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
24%Capture oddsEarned43%Capture oddsEarned