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Red74
24021.1
439530.8
191851.6
Blue140
364150.3
496747.2
50342.0
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions991515020074140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1918
Unranked
51.60.0
51.651.6
Auto13.5
Teleop27.9
End10.2
red by 1.3
3641
Unranked
50.30.0
50.350.3
Auto9.6
Teleop35.9
End4.7
Second
4395
Unranked
30.80.0
30.830.8
Auto8.6
Teleop15.8
End6.4
blue by 16.5
4967
Unranked
47.20.0
47.247.2
Auto8.7
Teleop30.7
End7.9
Third
240
Unranked
21.10.0
21.121.1
Auto7.9
Teleop9.5
End3.7
blue by 20.9
503
Unranked
42.00.0
42.042.0
Auto10.2
Teleop21.3
End10.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach odds99%Breach odds
Capture
34%Capture odds89%Capture odds