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Red117
54842.9
283230.7
364150.3
Blue89
24021.1
46928.5
496747.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1339405015020011789

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3641
Unranked
50.30.0
50.350.3
Auto9.6
Teleop35.9
End4.7
red by 3.0
4967
Unranked
47.20.0
47.247.2
Auto8.7
Teleop30.7
End7.9
Second
548
Unranked
42.90.0
42.942.9
Auto9.6
Teleop28.3
End5.0
red by 14.5
469
Unranked
28.50.0
28.528.5
Auto10.3
Teleop14.2
End4.0
Third
2832
Unranked
30.70.0
30.730.7
Auto10.2
Teleop14.6
End5.8
red by 9.6
240
Unranked
21.10.0
21.121.1
Auto7.9
Teleop9.5
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach odds85%Breach odds
Capture
28%Capture odds4%Capture odds