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Red89
107627.4
91041.6
439530.8
Blue81
171848.8
283447.1
30234.7
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96141502002508981

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
910
Unranked
41.60.0
41.641.6
Auto18.1
Teleop18.4
End5.1
blue by 7.1
1718
Unranked
48.80.0
48.848.8
Auto10.7
Teleop32.0
End6.1
Second
4395
Unranked
30.80.0
30.830.8
Auto8.6
Teleop15.8
End6.4
blue by 16.3
2834
Unranked
47.10.0
47.147.1
Auto12.9
Teleop29.3
End4.8
Third
1076
Unranked
27.40.0
27.427.4
Auto8.2
Teleop14.1
End5.1
blue by 7.2
302
Unranked
34.70.0
34.734.7
Auto8.9
Teleop15.2
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach odds98%Breach odds
Capture
15%Capture odds41%Capture odds