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Red142
364145.9
50339.6
335742.2
Blue89
509027.7
365638.2
295936.0
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions134985015020014289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3641
#16
45.90.8
38.939.7
Auto10.3
Teleop31.4
End4.3
red by 7.8
3656
#87
38.20.8
35.434.6
Auto12.7
Teleop21.7
End3.8
Second
3357
#43
42.20.8
46.747.5
Auto10.8
Teleop25.7
End5.7
red by 6.2
2959
#96
36.00.8
37.136.4
Auto9.9
Teleop21.0
End5.1
Third
503
#74
39.60.8
39.540.3
Auto10.6
Teleop19.0
End10.0
red by 11.9
5090
#100
27.70.8
28.127.3
Auto5.4
Teleop18.4
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
66%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed