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Red96
364150.3
396523.1
323036.4
Blue86
314736.1
393031.3
166228.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12494501502009686

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.31.3
48.346.9
Auto9.6
Teleop35.9
End4.7
red by 14.2
3147
#65
36.11.0
32.331.3
Auto8.6
Teleop16.2
End11.4
Second
3230
#56
36.41.3
39.538.2
Auto10.4
Teleop20.0
End5.9
red by 5.1
3930
#23
31.31.0
32.931.9
Auto8.9
Teleop17.3
End5.2
Third
3965
#61
23.11.3
28.427.1
Auto6.6
Teleop12.7
End3.9
blue by 5.8
1662
#63
28.91.0
30.629.6
Auto9.2
Teleop15.1
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
31%Capture oddsMissed4%Capture oddsMissed