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Qual 142016 Curie Division
Red94
350639.2
298030.9
519933.6
Blue104
580337.5
37947.0
217538.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10312405015020025094104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3506
#31
39.20.6
38.2→37.6
Auto10.8
Teleop17.9
End10.5
blue by 7.8
379
#16
47.01.6
42.7→41.1
Auto12.2
Teleop26.1
End8.7
Second
5199
#50
33.60.6
32.7→32.1
Auto10.9
Teleop12.4
End10.3
blue by 4.9
2175
#24
38.51.6
37.6→36.0
Auto12.7
Teleop21.7
End4.2
Third
2980
#51
30.90.6
31.9→31.3
Auto7.8
Teleop18.4
End4.7
blue by 6.6
5803
#4
37.51.6
37.1→35.6
Auto7.2
Teleop19.5
End10.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
9%Capture oddsMissed28%Capture oddsMissed