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Qual 132016 Curie Division
Red104
418836.4
540647.7
583421.3
Blue107
399047.4
527936.5
567924.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110115050150200250300104107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5406
#5
47.70.3
43.3→43.0
Auto11.6
Teleop25.0
End11.1
red by 0.3
3990
#38
47.40.2
47.0→46.7
Auto10.5
Teleop27.0
End9.8
Second
4188
#59
36.40.3
42.0→41.8
Auto8.6
Teleop22.2
End5.6
Level
5279
#19
36.50.2
36.5→36.3
Auto11.0
Teleop19.4
End6.0
Third
5834
#52
21.30.3
22.5→22.2
Auto8.4
Teleop11.0
End1.9
blue by 3.2
5679
#67
24.50.2
27.2→26.9
Auto7.0
Teleop13.1
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
21%Capture oddsMissed9%Capture oddsEarned