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Qual 122016 Curie Division
Red106
63939.8
331044.2
593328.9
Blue115
126144.9
337425.4
401031.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11796050150200250106115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3310
#34
44.21.3
50.9→49.5
Auto14.6
Teleop23.1
End6.5
blue by 0.7
1261
#13
44.90.6
41.6→42.2
Auto14.3
Teleop25.7
End4.9
Second
639
#6
39.81.3
35.3→34.0
Auto10.3
Teleop19.1
End10.4
red by 8.3
4010
#41
31.40.6
27.4→27.9
Auto9.3
Teleop17.9
End4.2
Third
5933
#20
28.91.3
24.7→23.4
Auto8.5
Teleop15.8
End4.6
red by 3.5
3374
#43
25.40.6
27.6→28.1
Auto6.7
Teleop15.2
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
14%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed