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Red54
589214.2
406137.6
445521.3
Blue102
597628.0
2550.0
138928.4
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6710505015054102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4061
#12
37.61.4
36.334.8
Auto12.4
Teleop17.8
End7.5
blue by 12.4
25
#3
50.00.4
46.046.3
Auto11.9
Teleop24.3
End13.9
Second
4455
#74
21.31.9
20.718.8
Auto7.6
Teleop11.5
End2.2
blue by 7.2
1389
#35
28.40.4
25.325.7
Auto9.1
Teleop16.3
End3.0
Third
5892
#73
14.21.4
13.712.2
Auto3.4
Teleop9.5
End1.3
blue by 13.8
5976
#53
28.00.4
25.225.7
Auto7.0
Teleop16.8
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
83%Breach oddsMissed97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed22%Capture oddsEarned