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Red78
233737.9
148134.2
49447.4
Blue134
276749.0
364145.9
608638.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10912640608010014016018020078134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#14
47.42.0
37.935.9
Auto14.5
Teleop26.6
End6.4
blue by 1.5
49.00.6
44.845.4
Auto10.8
Teleop30.7
End7.4
Second
2337
#60
37.92.0
36.634.6
Auto9.0
Teleop23.2
End5.6
blue by 8.0
3641
#16
45.90.6
37.037.6
Auto10.3
Teleop31.4
End4.3
Third
1481
#59
34.22.0
33.731.7
Auto8.6
Teleop21.5
End4.1
blue by 4.1
6086
#31
38.30.6
37.838.4
Auto11.3
Teleop23.2
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
6%Capture oddsMissed3%Capture oddsEarned