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Red35
514420.3
611619.2
553021.6
Blue81
118824.2
364128.9
341425.8
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions527802040601001201403581

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5530
#32
21.62.1
22.220.1
Auto2.0
Teleop15.3
End4.3
blue by 7.3
3641
#11
28.91.1
31.032.0
Auto10.0
Teleop15.5
End3.4
Second
5144
#18
20.32.1
18.316.1
Auto3.5
Teleop13.4
End3.4
blue by 5.5
3414
#13
25.81.1
22.823.9
Auto9.4
Teleop13.8
End2.6
Third
6116
#35
19.22.1
13.711.5
Auto4.6
Teleop11.3
End3.4
blue by 5.0
24.20.6
17.718.3
Auto8.0
Teleop11.4
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
27%Breach oddsMissed38%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed