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Red98
32134.0
217538.5
300539.8
Blue115
354644.1
377037.3
364150.3
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1141445010020098115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.81.1
40.339.1
Auto11.4
Teleop21.9
End6.5
blue by 10.4
50.31.4
51.950.5
Auto9.6
Teleop35.9
End4.7
Second
2175
#24
38.51.1
39.638.5
Auto12.7
Teleop21.7
End4.2
blue by 5.6
44.11.4
44.843.4
Auto14.1
Teleop24.9
End5.1
Third
321
#30
34.01.1
35.134.0
Auto10.4
Teleop18.1
End5.5
blue by 3.3
3770
#32
37.31.4
38.737.3
Auto8.4
Teleop18.9
End10.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
46%Capture oddsEarned96%Capture oddsMissed