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Red108
589214.2
418031.6
399047.4
Blue124
63939.8
393031.3
69439.7
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88110050100150108124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3990
#38
47.41.3
45.747.0
Auto10.5
Teleop27.0
End9.8
red by 7.7
639
#6
39.80.7
38.739.4
Auto10.3
Teleop19.1
End10.4
Second
4180
#47
31.61.3
30.331.6
Auto8.8
Teleop16.9
End5.9
blue by 8.1
694
#8
39.70.7
34.435.1
Auto9.5
Teleop25.5
End4.8
Third
5892
#73
14.21.3
12.914.2
Auto3.4
Teleop9.5
End1.3
blue by 17.1
3930
#23
31.30.7
30.631.3
Auto8.9
Teleop17.3
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
79%Breach oddsEarned91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed55%Capture oddsEarned