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Red116
408724.0
361840.6
19134.7
Blue127
406137.6
107320.2
540647.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9610550150116127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3618
#15
40.61.4
38.539.9
Auto13.8
Teleop21.9
End5.0
blue by 7.1
47.71.8
46.248.0
Auto11.6
Teleop25.0
End11.1
Second
191
#44
34.71.4
33.334.7
Auto10.0
Teleop19.4
End5.3
blue by 2.9
4061
#12
37.61.8
35.837.5
Auto12.4
Teleop17.8
End7.5
Third
4087
#36
24.01.4
22.624.0
Auto6.7
Teleop16.1
End1.3
red by 3.8
1073
#71
20.21.8
18.420.2
Auto5.7
Teleop11.1
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
83%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
6%Capture oddsEarned16%Capture oddsEarned