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Red100
601624.9
95532.8
28739.5
Blue138
216844.0
198342.2
519933.6
21%Model gave it79%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95122406080140160180200100138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
287
#64
39.50.3
39.039.3
Auto10.9
Teleop24.4
End4.2
blue by 4.6
2168
#45
44.01.5
42.443.9
Auto14.0
Teleop23.7
End6.4
Second
955
#72
32.80.3
32.532.8
Auto8.3
Teleop19.4
End5.1
blue by 9.4
1983
#40
42.21.5
40.542.0
Auto10.8
Teleop19.8
End11.6
Third
6016
#57
24.90.3
24.724.9
Auto8.3
Teleop14.2
End2.4
blue by 8.6
5199
#50
33.61.5
32.033.6
Auto10.9
Teleop12.4
End10.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
35%Capture oddsMissed21%Capture oddsEarned