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Red91
603415.1
432930.2
314736.1
Blue113
298030.9
580337.5
464632.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7710505015091113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3147
#65
36.10.8
35.336.1
Auto8.6
Teleop16.2
End11.4
blue by 1.4
37.51.0
36.437.4
Auto7.2
Teleop19.5
End10.8
Second
4329
#39
30.20.8
29.129.9
Auto10.9
Teleop16.9
End2.4
blue by 2.6
4646
#26
32.81.0
31.832.8
Auto11.9
Teleop16.2
End4.6
Third
6034
#75
15.10.8
14.315.1
Auto2.4
Teleop10.3
End2.5
blue by 15.7
2980
#51
30.91.0
29.930.9
Auto7.8
Teleop18.4
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
75%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
5%Capture oddsMissed22%Capture oddsEarned