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Red118
261131.8
21746.4
323437.6
Blue134
364145.9
5136.1
260425.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11689050150200250118134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#41
46.40.6
43.444.1
Auto10.7
Teleop27.3
End8.4
red by 0.4
3641
#16
45.92.9
39.742.6
Auto10.3
Teleop31.4
End4.3
Second
3234
#47
37.60.6
33.934.5
Auto10.3
Teleop18.2
End9.1
red by 1.5
51
#42
36.12.9
29.532.4
Auto10.6
Teleop20.2
End5.3
Third
2611
#95
31.80.6
31.231.9
Auto10.2
Teleop18.0
End3.6
red by 6.0
2604
#73
25.82.9
20.923.8
Auto8.3
Teleop12.8
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
11%Capture oddsMissed12%Capture oddsEarned