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Red130
277156.6
365534.7
590731.3
Blue115
376728.1
49447.4
7438.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11411490100110120130140150130115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2771
#11
56.60.6
51.752.3
Auto15.2
Teleop36.3
End5.1
red by 9.1
494
#14
47.40.3
41.942.2
Auto14.5
Teleop26.6
End6.4
Second
3655
#56
34.70.6
29.430.1
Auto10.5
Teleop21.6
End2.6
blue by 3.9
74
#78
38.70.3
37.838.1
Auto11.5
Teleop16.5
End10.6
Third
5907
#83
31.30.6
29.430.0
Auto10.4
Teleop16.2
End4.7
red by 3.3
3767
#101
28.10.3
30.831.1
Auto8.6
Teleop14.7
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
89%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
40%Capture oddsMissed26%Capture oddsMissed