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Red127
438132.2
368844.1
276749.0
Blue73
523037.3
361836.1
171128.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1328605010015020012773

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.00.1
46.546.5
Auto10.8
Teleop30.7
End7.4
red by 11.7
5230
#90
37.31.1
35.334.1
Auto9.4
Teleop23.9
End3.9
Second
3688
#22
44.10.1
43.443.5
Auto11.5
Teleop27.8
End4.8
red by 8.1
3618
#53
36.11.1
32.030.9
Auto15.1
Teleop17.8
End3.1
Third
4381
#98
32.20.1
31.331.4
Auto9.9
Teleop17.7
End4.6
red by 3.8
1711
#71
28.41.1
22.721.5
Auto10.6
Teleop15.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned86%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
13%Capture oddsEarned3%Capture oddsMissed