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Red132
505043.2
612132.1
205444.7
Blue109
515539.8
436244.6
587833.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116116100110120130140132109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2054
#49
44.71.3
41.442.7
Auto13.5
Teleop26.2
End4.9
red by 0.1
4362
#18
44.60.3
43.743.4
Auto12.3
Teleop23.4
End8.8
Second
5050
#15
43.21.3
41.042.3
Auto10.4
Teleop28.5
End4.4
red by 3.4
5155
#86
39.80.3
38.037.7
Auto9.8
Teleop24.4
End5.6
Third
6121
#81
32.11.3
30.031.3
Auto9.4
Teleop18.3
End4.4
blue by 1.8
5878
#32
33.80.3
31.431.2
Auto9.3
Teleop19.3
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
16%Capture oddsEarned37%Capture oddsEarned