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Qual 562016 Michigan State Championship
Red107
247442.2
388626.6
354641.8
Blue126
496750.3
6837.0
148134.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105119050150200250107126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2474
#12
42.20.1
35.9→35.7
Auto10.7
Teleop24.8
End6.7
blue by 8.0
4967
#6
50.30.5
45.7→46.2
Auto8.7
Teleop35.7
End5.9
Second
3546
#37
41.80.1
41.6→41.4
Auto14.4
Teleop21.7
End5.7
red by 4.8
68
#79
37.00.5
34.8→35.3
Auto11.1
Teleop21.5
End4.4
Third
3886
#91
26.60.1
26.7→26.6
Auto7.5
Teleop14.9
End4.2
blue by 7.7
1481
#59
34.20.5
32.9→33.4
Auto8.6
Teleop21.5
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
40%Capture oddsEarned36%Capture oddsMissed