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Red103
546050.1
353442.5
468033.4
Blue106
341433.1
477631.4
609835.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12587050100150200103106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5460
#26
50.10.9
40.739.9
Auto9.4
Teleop31.8
End8.8
red by 14.9
6098
#57
35.21.1
35.636.7
Auto11.3
Teleop18.4
End5.6
Second
3534
#20
42.50.9
41.340.4
Auto6.7
Teleop22.3
End13.5
red by 9.4
3414
#70
33.11.1
28.429.5
Auto13.7
Teleop14.5
End4.9
Third
4680
#93
33.40.9
33.833.0
Auto6.9
Teleop21.3
End5.2
red by 2.0
4776
#84
31.41.1
26.127.1
Auto10.9
Teleop17.1
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
18%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned