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Red111
345237.7
323433.4
590123.8
Blue146
6627.2
364137.0
332220.9
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121101406080140160180200111146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.70.2
37.937.7
Auto9.6
Teleop23.9
End4.1
red by 0.7
37.00.3
36.536.7
Auto9.7
Teleop22.8
End4.5
Second
33.40.2
33.633.4
Auto9.3
Teleop15.4
End8.6
red by 6.2
66
#16
27.20.3
26.726.9
Auto7.0
Teleop16.2
End4.0
Third
5901
#23
23.80.2
24.023.8
Auto9.4
Teleop9.4
End4.9
red by 2.9
3322
#30
20.90.3
20.320.6
Auto5.8
Teleop13.0
End2.0