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Red145
277145.7
421633.3
500822.2
Blue141
6627.2
364137.0
332220.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13310150150200145141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.70.0
45.445.4
Auto10.2
Teleop32.4
End3.0
red by 8.6
37.00.2
37.037.2
Auto9.7
Teleop22.8
End4.5
Second
33.30.0
33.133.1
Auto10.9
Teleop17.0
End5.4
red by 6.1
66
#16
27.20.2
27.127.4
Auto7.0
Teleop16.2
End4.0
Third
5008
#32
22.20.0
22.022.0
Auto7.4
Teleop9.7
End5.1
red by 1.3
3322
#30
20.90.2
20.821.1
Auto5.8
Teleop13.0
End2.0