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Red157
277145.7
421633.3
500822.2
Blue82
6627.2
364137.0
332220.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1321025015020015782

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.70.3
45.445.7
Auto10.2
Teleop32.4
End3.0
red by 8.6
37.00.2
37.237.0
Auto9.7
Teleop22.8
End4.5
Second
33.30.3
33.133.3
Auto10.9
Teleop17.0
End5.4
red by 6.1
66
#16
27.20.2
27.427.2
Auto7.0
Teleop16.2
End4.0
Third
5008
#32
22.20.3
22.022.2
Auto7.4
Teleop9.7
End5.1
red by 1.3
3322
#30
20.90.2
21.120.9
Auto5.8
Teleop13.0
End2.0