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Red150
174639.8
124161.8
140530.4
Blue115
171847.3
364151.8
348141.2
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12814750100200150115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1241
#30
61.80.5
54.755.3
Auto17.0
Teleop39.6
End5.1
red by 10.0
3641
#15
51.81.7
53.251.5
Auto10.4
Teleop36.9
End4.6
Second
1746
#45
39.80.5
41.842.3
Auto9.0
Teleop22.8
End8.0
blue by 7.6
1718
#57
47.31.7
47.345.6
Auto9.9
Teleop28.4
End9.0
Third
1405
#52
30.40.5
30.731.2
Auto9.0
Teleop16.3
End5.1
blue by 10.8
3481
#59
41.21.7
39.838.1
Auto7.8
Teleop28.2
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
62%Capture oddsEarned34%Capture oddsMissed