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Red140
17956.0
173143.2
2746.5
Blue125
4540.8
496741.2
91039.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions155118050100200250300140125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179
#19
56.00.3
55.755.3
Auto12.2
Teleop31.7
End12.0
red by 14.8
4967
#66
41.20.0
43.143.1
Auto8.9
Teleop25.3
End7.1
Second
27
#31
46.50.3
49.048.7
Auto11.7
Teleop26.5
End8.2
red by 5.7
45
#9
40.80.0
38.838.8
Auto9.1
Teleop27.7
End4.0
Third
1731
#39
43.20.3
40.440.0
Auto10.5
Teleop29.7
End3.0
red by 3.8
910
#55
39.40.0
38.038.0
Auto15.0
Teleop19.7
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
74%Capture oddsEarned45%Capture oddsMissed