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Red116
331445.0
282633.0
167537.7
Blue175
50350.6
111461.1
102451.9
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109169050150200250116175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3314
#41
45.00.1
44.144.1
Auto10.6
Teleop25.6
End8.8
blue by 16.0
61.11.0
54.555.5
Auto19.8
Teleop29.5
End11.8
Second
1675
#61
37.70.1
35.635.7
Auto9.1
Teleop24.5
End4.2
blue by 14.1
1024
#36
51.91.0
54.755.7
Auto13.5
Teleop32.8
End5.6
Third
2826
#69
33.00.1
34.935.0
Auto8.9
Teleop17.5
End6.6
blue by 17.6
503
#21
50.61.0
46.347.3
Auto10.4
Teleop29.2
End11.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
23%Capture oddsMissed93%Capture oddsEarned