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Red192
19573.4
33062.3
86857.8
Blue145
458753.6
313043.2
21756.1
70%Model gave it30%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19215350100250300350192145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#4
73.40.3
70.870.5
Auto21.0
Teleop42.4
End10.0
red by 17.3
217
#7
56.11.0
60.259.2
Auto14.9
Teleop31.6
End9.6
Second
330
#23
62.30.3
57.957.6
Auto15.3
Teleop36.2
End10.8
red by 8.7
4587
#26
53.61.0
49.548.5
Auto13.5
Teleop35.7
End4.3
Third
868
#20
57.80.3
52.352.0
Auto13.7
Teleop38.1
End6.0
red by 14.6
3130
#35
43.21.0
45.044.0
Auto16.1
Teleop23.1
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
89%Capture oddsEarned76%Capture oddsMissed