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Red92
23329.5
62437.5
125736.0
Blue125
301533.7
49448.8
353843.6
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10413405015020025092125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#42
37.50.9
35.134.2
Auto8.6
Teleop26.1
End2.8
blue by 11.3
494
#24
48.80.4
46.245.9
Auto16.0
Teleop25.4
End7.5
Second
1257
#51
36.00.9
33.332.4
Auto10.7
Teleop18.9
End6.4
blue by 7.6
3538
#25
43.60.4
43.342.9
Auto12.3
Teleop28.2
End3.0
Third
233
#65
29.50.9
37.036.1
Auto9.6
Teleop14.9
End4.9
blue by 4.2
3015
#60
33.70.4
36.335.9
Auto9.7
Teleop19.9
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
67%Capture oddsEarned36%Capture oddsMissed