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Red155
151134.4
382452.2
245159.4
Blue174
3357.3
6765.1
174749.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131163050100200250300155174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2451
#11
59.41.5
54.456.0
Auto17.6
Teleop33.7
End8.1
blue by 5.7
67
#12
65.11.0
58.359.3
Auto16.4
Teleop35.8
End12.9
Second
3824
#46
52.21.5
46.247.8
Auto17.1
Teleop31.6
End3.5
blue by 5.1
33
#53
57.31.0
55.256.2
Auto12.1
Teleop33.8
End11.4
Third
1511
#37
34.41.5
31.232.7
Auto10.9
Teleop16.9
End6.7
blue by 15.0
1747
#18
49.41.0
40.541.5
Auto15.1
Teleop27.5
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
28%Capture oddsEarned83%Capture oddsEarned