1511Rolling Thunder
Penfield, New York, USA
#406 of 3114 · 26-13 · 67% win rate
| Match | Red | Blue | Pred | Win prob | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qual 6 | 260915111310 | 56801885589 | 76–61 | 79% | 88–55 |
| Qual 9 | 582160093360 | 86515114001 | 65–75 | 61% | 61–100 |
| Qual 17 | 577649515039 | 592115114069 | 54–68 | 77% | 50–71 |
| Qual 25 | 509215115589 | 37054718781 | 57–48 | 73% | 68–32 |
| Qual 28 | 492049141511 | 36835834886 | 64–62 | 58% | 62–83 |
| Qual 40 | 280950924914 | 151159112706 | 55–73 | 89% | 54–76 |
| Qual 47 | 58341511772 | 8541815919 | 77–57 | 93% | 97–62 |
| Qual 53 | 55898544069 | 582128521511 | 72–74 | 52% | 72–67 |
| Qual 59 | 8651881547 | 77114821511 | 74–66 | 74% | 80–86 |
| Qual 68 | 49461511188 | 569927062852 | 86–82 | 65% | 103–86 |
| Playoffs | |||||
| Quarterfinal 3-1 | 260915114951 | 13101325865 | 105–96 | 78% | 108–108 |
| Quarterfinal 3-2 | 260915114951 | 13101325865 | 105–97 | 75% | 145–101 |
| Semifinal 2-1 | 260915114951 | 336056992809 | 105–107 | 51% | 144–114 |
| Semifinal 2-2 | 260915114951 | 336056992809 | 106–107 | 53% | 141–96 |
| Finals | |||||
| Final 1 | 400136835039 | 260915114951 | 112–106 | 71% | 153–136 |
| Final 2 | 400136835039 | 260915114951 | 113–106 | 72% | 146–108 |
Finger Lakes Regional
Mar 23 – 26, 2016
| Match | Red | Blue | Pred | Win prob | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qual 5 | 15915782383 | 2228201511 | 74–88 | 72% | 81–85 |
| Qual 12 | 301549303181 | 39515113799 | 82–76 | 61% | 85–81 |
| Qual 23 | 54333953003 | 279128091511 | 76–95 | 83% | 78–113 |
| Qual 27 | 263815071511 | 402340935254 | 90–89 | 51% | 105–95 |
| Qual 40 | 25023405240 | 151111265030 | 84–90 | 65% | 75–83 |
| Qual 44 | 503038382010 | 301515114023 | 81–91 | 74% | 67–84 |
| Qual 51 | 40233402228 | 409314051511 | 79–83 | 61% | 57–96 |
| Qual 58 | 7330441511 | 6391450810 | 81–83 | 57% | 95–99 |
| Qual 68 | 15518101511 | 155916651765 | 92–76 | 79% | 122–65 |
| Qual 74 | 201015113157 | 28091518191 | 90–86 | 59% | 100–85 |
| Playoffs | |||||
| Quarterfinal 3-1 | 30151511378 | 11262010578 | 133–122 | 71% | 146–135 |
| Quarterfinal 3-2 | 30151511378 | 11262010578 | 133–122 | 72% | 0–80 |
| Quarterfinal 3-3 | 30151511378 | 11262010578 | 131–119 | 65% | 99–102 |
| Match | Red | Blue | Pred | Win prob | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qual 5 | 208037703339 | 35062871511 | 96–116 | 71% | 94–116 |
| Qual 17 | 188515113005 | 39254469191 | 111–99 | 67% | 115–100 |
| Qual 27 | 151112614061 | 18859552980 | 118–102 | 72% | 128–103 |
| Qual 39 | 41881511694 | 361882175 | 109–96 | 68% | 104–107 |
| Qual 54 | 151158925279 | 36563792168 | 89–130 | 96% | 90–117 |
| Qual 65 | 18682874335 | 251661511 | 89–135 | 98% | 57–152 |
| Qual 79 | 108915115933 | 43293394180 | 107–95 | 65% | 117–78 |
| Qual 95 | 401015111868 | 519935466034 | 98–95 | 55% | 91–115 |
| Qual 108 | 29743310836 | 601621751511 | 129–108 | 85% | 92–89 |
| Qual 115 | 8765837858 | 491058341511 | 124–94 | 90% | 117–64 |
| Match | Red | Blue | Pred | Win prob | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qual 5 | 30316403142 | 15114454193 | 114–102 | 53% | 79–99 |
| Qual 12 | 259015114012 | 3691021676 | 106–100 | 52% | 63–61 |
| Qual 18 | 46531218224 | 192315114361 | 93–95 | 51% | 97–98 |
| Qual 25 | 201619232607 | 125715112191 | 102–93 | 53% | 94–100 |
| Qual 30 | 22375225 | 314256241511 | 114–99 | 55% | 132–119 |
| Playoffs | |||||
| Quarterfinal 4-1 | 151175555 | 29320161218 | 111–112 | 51% | 132–118 |
| Quarterfinal 4-2 | 1511755624 | 19320161218 | 127–137 | 54% | 110–154 |
| Quarterfinal 4-3 | 1511755624 | 19320161218 | 127–137 | 54% | 104–167 |
| Match | Red | Blue | Pred | Win prob | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qual 4 | 49415113620 | 1241164027 | 145–167 | 64% | 90–85 |
| Qual 23 | 496710863130 | 23315113481 | 135–110 | 68% | 125–120 |
| Qual 34 | 125718061024 | 15111746330 | 134–136 | 53% | 151–126 |
| Qual 39 | 151138242451 | 33671747 | 136–158 | 68% | 155–174 |
| Qual 50 | 364111145254 | 17940391511 | 159–135 | 74% | 165–132 |
| Qual 63 | 171810231511 | 4587233820 | 128–132 | 52% | 135–157 |
| Qual 78 | 2715111619 | 246833145460 | 137–139 | 51% | 158–127 |
| Qual 90 | 22525021511 | 16167545 | 142–127 | 72% | 130–156 |
| Qual 100 | 248115111529 | 7135383683 | 130–139 | 61% | 133–109 |
| Match | Red | Blue | Pred | Win prob | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qual 6 | 136013341405 | 151115513173 | 84–95 | 55% | 44–80 |
| Qual 10 | 234015111507 | 525439515030 | 97–113 | 60% | 71–85 |
| Qual 14 | 403915115030 | 22286393838 | 112–91 | 68% | 99–96 |
| Qual 21 | 304415851559 | 525415115406 | 99–136 | 71% | 69–91 |
| Qual 29 | 5783403015 | 649015119999 | 101–68 | 74% | 108–62 |
| Qual 34 | 1511222191 | 2099991518 | 105–80 | 67% | 87–44 |
| Qual 41 | 40392223173 | 318115119998 | 106–74 | 73% | 112–87 |
| Playoffs | |||||
| Quarterfinal 4-1 | 15111912228 | 5781551378 | 126–111 | 65% | 89–126 |
| Quarterfinal 4-2 | 15111912228 | 5781551378 | 126–111 | 65% | 134–128 |
| Quarterfinal 4-3 | 15111912228 | 5781551378 | 126–111 | 66% | 137–111 |
| Semifinal 2-1 | 6395406291 | 15111912228 | 145–126 | 70% | 166–132 |
| Semifinal 2-2 | 6395406291 | 15111912228 | 145–126 | 70% | 139–89 |
