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Red100
201032.1
151135.6
315720.2
Blue85
280929.6
151825.4
19131.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions918540608010012014010085

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.60.9
36.137.0
Auto9.6
Teleop18.8
End7.2
red by 3.8
191
#19
31.80.1
31.631.8
Auto8.1
Teleop18.4
End5.3
Second
2010
#10
32.10.9
32.132.9
Auto11.1
Teleop16.3
End4.7
red by 2.4
2809
#13
29.60.1
29.229.3
Auto9.8
Teleop15.4
End4.4
Third
3157
#33
20.21.1
19.120.2
Auto5.6
Teleop10.4
End4.1
blue by 5.2
1518
#42
25.40.2
22.522.7
Auto7.6
Teleop9.8
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
88%Breach oddsEarned69%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed