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Red80
559016.5
112630.3
25028.8
Blue78
409324.6
17425.0
238334.5
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7288204060801001201408078

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1126
#14
30.30.5
29.930.4
Auto8.1
Teleop16.7
End5.5
blue by 4.2
2383
#39
34.50.3
34.133.8
Auto10.2
Teleop17.8
End6.4
Second
250
#35
28.80.5
27.928.4
Auto9.2
Teleop13.6
End6.0
red by 3.8
174
#40
25.00.5
23.523.0
Auto5.0
Teleop12.9
End7.2
Third
5590
#46
16.50.7
15.015.7
Auto5.2
Teleop7.9
End3.4
blue by 8.1
4093
#36
24.60.3
25.224.9
Auto11.0
Teleop9.7
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
68%Breach oddsEarned59%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
3%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed