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Red103
494627.6
151130.0
18830.5
Blue86
569930.2
270624.2
285227.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions878150607010011012010386

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
188
#19
30.50.4
28.829.1
Auto9.0
Teleop16.8
End4.7
red by 0.3
30.20.5
29.830.3
Auto6.6
Teleop17.5
End6.2
Second
30.00.4
29.129.5
Auto9.1
Teleop17.3
End3.6
red by 3.0
2852
#14
27.10.5
27.227.7
Auto6.9
Teleop17.0
End3.2
Third
27.60.4
25.826.2
Auto7.3
Teleop16.9
End3.4
red by 3.4
24.20.5
23.023.5
Auto5.5
Teleop12.8
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed