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Red130
22563.8
250244.6
151134.4
Blue156
1650.4
167537.7
4540.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14512350100200130156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
#14
63.80.5
60.860.2
Auto16.7
Teleop36.9
End10.2
red by 13.5
16
#40
50.41.9
48.850.7
Auto10.9
Teleop29.6
End9.8
Second
2502
#27
44.60.5
42.041.5
Auto10.2
Teleop25.2
End9.2
red by 3.8
45
#9
40.81.9
38.440.3
Auto9.1
Teleop27.7
End4.0
Third
1511
#37
34.40.5
35.234.6
Auto10.9
Teleop16.9
End6.7
blue by 3.3
1675
#61
37.71.9
35.937.7
Auto9.1
Teleop24.5
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
45%Capture oddsEarned66%Capture oddsEarned