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Red157
62437.5
546049.1
33062.3
Blue172
6765.1
50350.6
368347.0
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14416950100200250157172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
330
#23
62.30.9
61.161.9
Auto15.3
Teleop36.2
End10.8
blue by 2.8
67
#12
65.10.7
61.762.5
Auto16.4
Teleop35.8
End12.9
Second
5460
#54
49.10.9
49.350.2
Auto9.9
Teleop31.6
End7.6
blue by 1.5
503
#21
50.60.7
51.051.7
Auto10.4
Teleop29.2
End11.0
Third
624
#42
37.50.9
33.634.5
Auto8.6
Teleop26.1
End2.8
blue by 9.5
3683
#16
47.00.7
48.249.0
Auto9.6
Teleop27.5
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
71%Capture oddsEarned96%Capture oddsEarned