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Red105
46139.6
301533.7
152929.8
Blue207
382452.2
108644.3
86857.8
10%Model gave it90%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93156050200250105207

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
461
#67
39.60.4
37.437.8
Auto6.4
Teleop29.8
End3.3
blue by 18.2
868
#20
57.83.6
53.657.3
Auto13.7
Teleop38.1
End6.0
Second
3015
#60
33.70.4
32.432.8
Auto9.7
Teleop19.9
End4.1
blue by 18.5
3824
#46
52.23.6
49.653.2
Auto17.1
Teleop31.6
End3.5
Third
1529
#58
29.80.4
29.630.0
Auto7.4
Teleop17.9
End4.5
blue by 14.5
1086
#49
44.33.6
39.543.1
Auto10.5
Teleop30.1
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
21%Capture oddsMissed43%Capture oddsMissed