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Red125
24537.5
172034.9
458753.6
Blue142
174639.8
248161.2
173143.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12715350100200250300125142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4587
#26
53.60.1
53.052.9
Auto13.5
Teleop35.7
End4.3
blue by 7.7
61.20.2
61.861.6
Auto17.6
Teleop37.9
End5.8
Second
245
#56
37.50.1
37.637.5
Auto10.1
Teleop23.8
End3.5
blue by 5.7
1731
#39
43.20.2
42.041.8
Auto10.5
Teleop29.7
End3.0
Third
1720
#63
34.90.1
36.336.1
Auto8.5
Teleop21.3
End5.1
blue by 4.8
1746
#45
39.80.2
41.140.9
Auto9.0
Teleop22.8
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
34%Capture oddsMissed59%Capture oddsEarned