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Red140
233844.4
3357.3
525450.1
Blue172
49448.8
348141.2
111461.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15514780100120140180200220240140172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#53
57.30.7
58.157.5
Auto12.1
Teleop33.8
End11.4
blue by 3.8
61.11.5
57.458.9
Auto19.8
Teleop29.5
End11.8
Second
5254
#22
50.10.7
47.947.2
Auto10.3
Teleop32.0
End7.9
red by 1.3
494
#24
48.81.5
47.048.5
Auto16.0
Teleop25.4
End7.5
Third
2338
#33
44.40.7
43.843.2
Auto9.3
Teleop31.1
End4.0
red by 3.2
3481
#59
41.21.5
40.041.5
Auto7.8
Teleop28.2
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
58%Capture oddsMissed39%Capture oddsEarned